Arsenal will head to Germany without a number of their key players, and after losing four of their last five competitive away games, we think claiming a positive result may prove difficult. Although we think the Gunners will fall to a defeat in the first leg, we expect the deficit to be slender one, which would keep Arsenal in the tie ahead of the home leg on May 1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
49.53% ( -2.02)	23.15% ( 0.52)	27.31% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 60.09% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-1.19)

40.79% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.82% (

-1.23)

63.17% (

1.22)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-1.16)

16.66% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.48% (

-2.1)

46.51% (

2.1)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

0.47)

27.89% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

0.6)

63.51% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg Women 49.53%

Arsenal Women 27.31%

Draw 23.15%

Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.31%