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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Wolfsburg have not lost any of their last six Champions League home matches, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory in Thursday's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
27.79% (0.324 0.32) 24.5% (0.309 0.31) 47.7% (-0.631 -0.63)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.137 -1.14)46.55% (1.141 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.076 -1.08)68.83% (1.08 1.08)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)30.53% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-0.418 -0.42)66.75% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.706 -0.71)19.59% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-1.166 -1.17)51.53% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 27.79%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 47.7%
    Draw 24.49%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 47.7%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs PSG

Wolfsburg Women
70.1%
Draw
11.7%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
18.2%
77
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG
0-1
Wolfsburg

Groenen (27'), De Almeida (37'), Karchaoui (62'), Fazer (85')
De Almeida (61')
Bloodworth (62' pen.)
Brand (75'), Lattwein (85')
rhs 2.0
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11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton112451017-710
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
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