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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Spurs Ladies

Daly (5' pen.), Parker (90+6')
Corsie (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thomas (33', 64', 72'), Neville (45+5')
Thomas (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-3 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 15 at 4pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Tottenham will carry significant momentum into Saturday's away trip, and we think that they will edge out their out-of-form hosts to claim a fourth consecutive victory ahead of the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Ladies would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
38.63% (0.846 0.85) 24.06% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 37.3% (-0.871 -0.87)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-0.148 -0.15)41.17% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.152 -0.15)63.56% (0.151 0.15)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)21.41% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (0.538 0.54)54.41% (-0.539 -0.54)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.503 -0.5)22.08% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (-0.766 -0.77)55.43% (0.765 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 38.63%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 37.3%
    Draw 24.05%
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.3%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs Ladies
3-3
Aston Villa
Summanen (27', 46'), England (59')
Hanson (9'), Daly (21', 84')
Jan 14, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
2-1
Spurs Ladies
Dali (34'), Daly (38')
England (28')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Dec 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Aston Villa
1-2
Spurs Ladies
Allen (19')
Littlejohn (45'), Allen (77')
Simon (29' pen.), Deman (68')
Deman (45'), Clemaron (62')
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Aston Villa
1-0
Spurs Ladies
Iwabuchi (12')
N'Dow (90+11')

Mikalsen (67'), Kennedy (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
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