Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.56%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.6%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.