Man Utd Women2 - 1Man City Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
for
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Manchester City Women
Man United would have been disappointed with the FA Cup final result, but we think that they will bounce back by claiming a narrow victory over a Man City side that have lost their last two away league fixtures to Arsenal and Liverpool. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
40.88% ( 0.05) | 23.97% ( -0) | 35.15% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% ( 0.01) | 40.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% ( 0.01) | 63.37% ( -0.01) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( 0.03) | 20.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.38% ( 0.04) | 52.62% ( -0.04) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.02) | 23.12% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -0.03) | 56.98% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.15% |
How you voted: Man Utd Women vs Man City Women
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
3 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
4 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
9 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
10 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2 |
11 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
12 | Everton WomenEverton | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 2 |
> Women's Super League Full Table |