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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
 

Man Utd Women
2 - 1
Man City Women

Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Garcia (90+2'), Zelem (90'), Boe Risa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Manchester City Women

Man United would have been disappointed with the FA Cup final result, but we think that they will bounce back by claiming a narrow victory over a Man City side that have lost their last two away league fixtures to Arsenal and Liverpool. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
40.88% (0.055 0.05) 23.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)40.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)20.27% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)52.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.12% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)56.98% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 40.88%
    Manchester City Women 35.15%
    Draw 23.97%
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs Man City Women

Manchester United Women
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Manchester City Women
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 12.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 9, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 5
Man Utd Women
2-2
Man City Women
Staniforth (72'), Russo (75')
Shaw (38'), White (79')
Beckie (90+1')
Stanway (35')
Feb 12, 2021 7pm
gameweek 10
Man City Women
3-0
Man Utd Women
Bronze (23'), Hemp (71'), Weir (84')
Greenwood (59')

Ladd (28'), Sigsworth (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 6
Man Utd Women
2-2
Man City Women
Heath (54'), Hanson (74')
Press (46')
Kelly (8'), Coombs (45+1')
Kelly (45+4')
rhs 2.0
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