Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
