Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 80.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 6.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.74%) and 0-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.