MX23RW : Sunday, June 23 17:08:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 10, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
4 - 1
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), Ilestedt (36'), Russo (38', 74' pen.)
McCabe (54'), Foord (56'), Maritz (82'), Maanum (84'), Pelova (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rytting-Kaneryd (13')
James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-0 West Ham
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Chelsea Women

Although both sides will be desperate to claim maximum points to aid their respective title bids, we think that the title rivals will have to settle for a share of the spoils, which may suit a Chelsea side that boasts a three-point lead over Sunday's hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
38.11% (0.39 0.39) 26.06% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 35.83% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.282 0.28)50.48% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.248 0.25)72.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.349 0.35)25.87% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.466 0.47)60.85% (-0.463 -0.46)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.18% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.07 -0.07)62.58% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 38.11%
    Chelsea Women 35.83%
    Draw 26.06%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.83%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Chelsea Women

Arsenal Women
50.0%
Draw
8.3%
Chelsea Women
41.7%
12
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Chelsea Women
2-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (22'), Ericsson (41')

Wubben-Moy (34'), McCabe (45+1')
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Little (57' pen.)
Kerr (89')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Chelsea Women
0-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (52')
Maritz (44'), Walti (53')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Final
Arsenal Women
0-3
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), McCabe (66'), Parris (80')
Kirby (3'), Kerr (57', 77')
Cuthbert (45')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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