Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 10, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal Women4 - 1Chelsea Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-0 West Ham
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Chelsea Women 5-2 Leicester Women
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Chelsea Women
Although both sides will be desperate to claim maximum points to aid their respective title bids, we think that the title rivals will have to settle for a share of the spoils, which may suit a Chelsea side that boasts a three-point lead over Sunday's hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
38.11% ( 0.39) | 26.06% ( -0.07) | 35.83% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.28) | 50.48% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( 0.25) | 72.4% ( -0.25) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( 0.35) | 25.87% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% ( 0.47) | 60.85% ( -0.46) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( -0.05) | 27.18% ( 0.05) |