Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.