Chelsea Women4 - 2Brighton Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 15 at 4pm in Women's Super League
We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women
Chelsea completed a league double over Brighton last season, and after winning their last 17 home league games, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim all three points against the Seagulls. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
77.1% ( -0.39) | 13.92% ( 0.18) | 8.97% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.13% ( -0.23) | 29.87% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.96% ( -0.28) | 51.03% ( 0.28) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.7% ( -0.12) | 6.3% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.28% ( -0.33) | 23.72% ( 0.33) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% ( 0.25) | 42.37% ( -0.26) |