Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid
2 - 2
Chelsea Women

Carmona (10', 79' pen.)
Toletti (45'), Sousa (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Charles (41'), Kerr (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Chelsea Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: Valerenga 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League

Chelsea Women

All competitions

Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Chelsea Women
39.33% ( 0.35)	24.87% ( -0.01)	35.8% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84% (

0.02)

45.15% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

0.02)

67.5% (

-0.02)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

0.19)

22.83% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

0.28)

56.54% (

-0.27)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31% (

-0.17)

24.69% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77% (

-0.25)

59.23% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 39.33%

Chelsea Women 35.8%

Draw 24.87%

Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.8%