MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:19:53| >> :120:10950:10950:
Austria national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Raiffeisen Arena
Serbia national football team

Austria
2 - 1
Serbia

Wimmer (10'), Baumgartner (13')
Arnautovic (7'), Posch (71'), Laimer (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pavlovic (35')
Mitrovic (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cyprus 0-1 Serbia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 2-1 Serbia

 Neither manager should be adopting an all-guns blazing approach for an inconsequential win on Tuesday night, where avoiding pre-Euros injuries will be the overriding goal, although Serbia could do with an injection of morale. Stojkovic's men may briefly benefit from Austria's existing fitness concerns, but Rangnick's in-form troops should emerge victorious by the close of play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result
AustriaDrawSerbia
41.1% (-0.974 -0.97) 25.64% (0.144 0.14) 33.26% (0.834 0.83)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-0.388 -0.39)49.03% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (-0.352 -0.35)71.11% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.652 -0.65)23.64% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (-0.95 -0.95)57.74% (0.954 0.95)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.339 0.34)28.04% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.429 0.43)63.7% (-0.425 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Austria 41.1%
    Serbia 33.26%
    Draw 25.63%
AustriaDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.213 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.26%

How you voted: Austria vs Serbia

Austria
67.4%
Draw
20.0%
Serbia
12.6%
135
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
3-2
Serbia
Burgstaller (25'), Arnautovic (76'), Schaub (89')
Milivojevic (11'), Matic (83')
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Serbia
3-2
Austria
Mitrovic (6', 23'), Tadic (74')
Sabitzer (16'), Janko (62')
rhs 2.0
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