MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 02:55:20| >> :120:4655:4655:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 23, 2025 at 12am UK
Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
Costa Rica national football team

USA
3 - 0
Costa Rica

White (21'), Clark (77'), Agyemang (90')
Robinson (40'), McGlynn (69'), Miljevic (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alberto van der Putte Campos (39'), Faerron (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between USA and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: USA 3-1 Venezuela
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90
All competitions
Last Game: Panama 2-2 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 19 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 2-0 Costa Rica

There are many unknowns about Costa Rica right now, and it may take some time for this new generation to play at the same level as the USA and gel as a unit. The Yanks have plenty of energy players and depth pieces capable of producing a moment of magic, and that should be enough to propel them to a victory in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawCosta Rica
65.42% (0.294 0.29) 21.1% (-0.188 -0.19) 13.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (0.529 0.53)50.76% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.464 0.46)72.66% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.265 0.27)14.75% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.01% (0.508 0.51)42.99% (-0.509 -0.51)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.79% (0.159 0.16)48.21% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.61% (0.116 0.12)83.38% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    USA 65.42%
    Costa Rica 13.48%
    Draw 21.1%
USADrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.31% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 65.42%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 13.48%

How you voted: USA vs Costa Rica

USA
Draw
Costa Rica
USA
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Costa Rica
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Costa Rica
2-0
USA
Pablo Vargas (51'), Contreras (59')
Mora (63'), Galo (82')
Oct 14, 2021 12am
Third Round
USA
2-1
Costa Rica
Dest (25'), Moreira (66' og.)
Fuller (1')
Jun 10, 2021 12am
Feb 1, 2020 8.55pm
International Friendlies
USA
1-0
Costa Rica
Llanez (50' pen.)
Llanez (69')

Matarrita (26')
Feb 2, 2019 8.30pm
International Friendlies
USA
2-0
Costa Rica
Lletget (80'), Arriola (88')
Zimmerman (72')

Fuller (53')
rhs 2.0
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