Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Romania had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
