Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta
0 - 2
N. Macedonia

Teuma (27'), Borg (39'), Camenzuli (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Elmas (5'), Manev (41')
Shishkovski (85'), Manev (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 1-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, September 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	5	14	13
2	Ukraine	4	0	7
3	Italy	3	1	4
4	North Macedonia	4	-7	4
5	Malta	4	-8	0

North Macedonia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 Italy
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	5	14	13
2	Ukraine	4	0	7
3	Italy	3	1	4
4	North Macedonia	4	-7	4
5	Malta	4	-8	0

We said: Malta 0-2 North Macedonia

Despite taking confidence from Wednesday's friendly win over Gibraltar, Malta will be fully aware that Tuesday's opponents represent a significant step up in quality. North Macedonia claimed a narrow victory in the previous meeting between the two nations, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to clinch all three points at the Ta'Qali National Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.

Result
Malta	Draw	North Macedonia
21.63% ( -0.04)	23.99% ( 0.11)	54.38% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.49)

49.84% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0.44)

71.84% (

0.44)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

-0.31)

37.6% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.62% (

-0.31)

74.38% (

0.31)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77% (

-0.2)

18.23% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.74% (

-0.35)

49.25% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Malta 21.63%

North Macedonia 54.37%

Draw 23.99%

Malta	Draw	North Macedonia
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.63%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.37%