Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
N. Macedonia1 - 1Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with North Macedonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: England 7-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 5 | Malta | 4 | -8 | 0 |
We said: North Macedonia 0-2 Italy
A winning start to Spalletti's reign surely awaits a transitioning Italy side this weekend, with North Macedonia still reeling from their England embarrassment and the ongoing row between manager and absent captain. The reigning European champions should not score goals for fun in Skopje as they find their feet under the ex-Napoli boss, but they have the defensive nous required to shut out their hosts, whose star striker Trajkovski is lacking match practice. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Italy |
36.09% ( 0.16) | 26.27% ( -0.22) | 37.64% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
