MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 18:52:52| >> :600:2158446:2158446:
Malta national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Infetti Ground
Ukraine national football team

Malta
1 - 3
Ukraine

Mbong (12')
Marcolini (59'), Pisani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Camenzuli (38' og.), Dovbyk (43' pen.), Mudryk (85')
Matviyenko (31'), Zubkov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140

We said: Malta 0-3 Ukraine

Asserting their dominance in this fixture has not been Ukraine's forte, as Malta memorably overcame the Blue and Yellow in a 2017 friendly before only losing out to a Tsygankov spot kick in their maiden competitive meeting this year. However, the Reds' resistance should be futile here, and without the services of Teuma or Jones in the final third, another goalless defeat lies in store as Ukraine boost their top-two hopes again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawUkraine
18.1% (0.233 0.23) 22.3% (0.286 0.29) 59.6% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.846 -0.85)47.5% (0.85 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.786 -0.79)69.71% (0.791 0.79)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)40.02% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.207 -0.21)76.67% (0.212 0.21)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.452 -0.45)15.55% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.851 -0.85)44.49% (0.855 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Malta 18.1%
    Ukraine 59.59%
    Draw 22.3%
MaltaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.1%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.59%

How you voted: Malta vs Ukraine

Malta
10.8%
Draw
10.8%
Ukraine
78.3%
83
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
1-0
Malta
Tsygankov (72' pen.)
Vanat (43'), Malinovskyi (56')

Borg (51'), Borg (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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