MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:25:14| >> :60:420:420:
Italy national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Turkey national football team

Italy
0 - 0
Turkey


Orsolini (30'), Mancini (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly fixture between Italy and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's friendly fixture against Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Turkey

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Italy 1-1 Turkey

 Both nations qualified automatically for Euro 2024, but neither has fully convinced of late - particularly in defence. The two coaches will want to test solutions to some tactical conundrums without morale taking a hit through defeat, so a low-scoring draw could play out at the Dall'Ara. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ItalyDrawTurkey
69.83% (0.209 0.21) 17.37% (-0.157 -0.16) 12.8% (-0.054 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.428 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.32% (0.626 0.63)35.68% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.25% (0.69 0.69)57.75% (-0.693 -0.69)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.20899999999999 0.21)9.17% (-0.2119 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.91% (0.501 0.5)31.09% (-0.505 -0.5)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (0.332 0.33)39.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.306 0.31)76.36% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Italy 69.82%
    Turkey 12.8%
    Draw 17.37%
ItalyDrawTurkey
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.055 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.035 0.04)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 69.82%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.8%

How you voted: Italy vs Turkey

Italy
68.7%
Draw
20.5%
Turkey
10.8%
166
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Turkey
2-3
Italy
Under (4'), Dursun (83')
Muldur (86')
Cristante (35'), Raspadori (39', 70')
Zaniolo (45+1')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-3
Italy

Soyuncu (88'), Dervisoglu (90')
Demiral (53' og.), Immobile (66'), Insigne (79')
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