We said: Albania 4-0 Liechtenstein
Albania may have been found wanting in their opening two fixtures of the year, but Sylvinho's Euro 2024-bound men should have no trouble putting little Liechtenstein to the sword on Monday.
Straight after putting a stop to their abysmal losing sequence, the Blue-Reds will likely revert to type as Albania replenish their morale stores at a crucial time.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 87.01%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 3.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.35%) and 1-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.41%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.