Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovenia3 - 0Finland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Finland | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 6 | -21 | 0 |
Last Game: Finland 0-1 Denmark
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Finland | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 6 | -21 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 1-1 Finland
With so much on the line, neither side is set to go all-guns-blazing on Saturday evening, when one point apiece would represent a decent result for either. Slovenia seem to have the tougher run-in, but even a draw should keep their destiny in their own hands, as Denmark or Kazakhstan play each other and at least one must drop points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Finland |
43.97% ( 2.35) | 27.51% ( -0.46) | 28.52% ( -1.9) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
