MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 18:12:30| >> :600:2415224:2415224:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Northern Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Slovenia national football team

N. Ireland
0 - 1
Slovenia


Charles (4'), Thompson (59'), Smyth (60'), Evans (87')
Charles (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gnezda Cerin (5')
Elsnik (37'), Sporar (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Northern Ireland and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Last Game: N. Ireland 3-0 San Marino
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Finland
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Northern Ireland 1-2 Slovenia

 Defences did not come out on top when Northern Ireland and Slovenia locked horns a few weeks ago, and a similar tale should unfold in Belfast, where the visitors have a lot more to fight for than the Green and White Army. Doubts over Sesko's condition could harm Slovenia's prospects of back-to-back wins over Northern Ireland, but the visitors have found goals from numerous sources in qualifying and should fight fire with even more fire to maintain their top-two standing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawSlovenia
47.01% (2.71 2.71) 29.24% (-0.565 -0.57) 23.75% (-2.14 -2.14)
Both teams to score 39.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.97% (0.512 0.51)66.04% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.39% (0.351 0.35)84.61% (-0.34599999999999 -0.35)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (1.703 1.7)28.44% (-1.698 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (2.091 2.09)64.21% (-2.086 -2.09)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.21% (-1.723 -1.72)44.8% (1.728 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.23% (-1.416 -1.42)80.77% (1.421 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 47%
    Slovenia 23.75%
    Draw 29.24%
Northern IrelandDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 16.01% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.735 0.73)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.223 0.22)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.489 0.49)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.246 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.207 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 12.74% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.24%
0-1 @ 10.23% (-0.7 -0.7)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.497 -0.5)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Slovenia

Northern Ireland
13.7%
Draw
16.7%
Slovenia
69.6%
102
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
4-2
N. Ireland
Sporar (3', 56'), Evans (17' og.), Sesko (42')
Brekalo (90+5')
Price (7'), Evans (53')
Price (48'), Charles (57'), McCann (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
N. Ireland
1-0
Slovenia
Washington (41')
Ward (43'), Washington (52'), Evans (65')

Oblak (52'), Kirm (88')
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