Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Astana Arena
Kazakhstan1 - 0N. Ireland
Samorodov (27')
Samorodov (30'), Tagybergen (73'), Kuat (77'), Dosmagambetov (87'), Bystrov (90'), Zainutdinov (90+7')
Samorodov (30'), Tagybergen (73'), Kuat (77'), Dosmagambetov (87'), Bystrov (90'), Zainutdinov (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Finland
Thursday, September 7 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, September 7 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovenia 4-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
We said: Kazakhstan 2-1 Northern Ireland
Carrying a four-game losing streak into Sunday's showdown, struggling Northern Ireland are on course to suffer a fifth successive defeat at the expense of Kazakhstan, who look set to strengthen their qualification bid with a fourth victory in five outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Northern Ireland |
23.1% ( 0.16) | 25.78% ( 0.01) | 51.12% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( 0.12) | 55.3% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( 0.09) | 76.52% ( -0.09) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( 0.22) | 39.24% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.06% ( 0.2) | 75.95% ( -0.2) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( -0.02) | 21.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0.04) | 54.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Kazakhstan 23.1%
Northern Ireland 51.12%
Draw 25.77%
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.12% |
How you voted: Kazakhstan vs N. Ireland
Kazakhstan
75.9%Draw
16.1%Northern Ireland
8.0%87
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
