Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Finland1 - 2Kazakhstan
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zainutdinov (77' pen., 89')
Marochkin (27'), Samorodov (79'), Kuat (81'), Skvortsov (90+3'), Orazov (90+5'), Beysebekov (90+5')
Marochkin (27'), Samorodov (79'), Kuat (81'), Skvortsov (90+3'), Orazov (90+5'), Beysebekov (90+5')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Finland
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
We said: Finland 1-0 Kazakhstan
Locked together on points in the Group H table, there has been little to choose between these two nations this year, but home advantage should help Finland sneak victory by one goal; Kazakhstan could be bound for the playoffs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Kazakhstan |
56.38% ( -2.19) | 23.76% ( 0.93) | 19.86% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
