Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Greece5 - 0Kazakhstan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Greece 2-2 France
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
We said: Greece 2-1 Kazakhstan
Despite being bereft of any household names, Kazakhstan have thrown down the gauntlet to many of their continental foes in recent months and will receive a timely boost with the return of leading scorer Zaynutdinov. Thursday's game should not be a totally comfortable affair for Greece, whose defence is unlikely to emerge unscathed, but we still expect Poyet's men to march on to next week's playoff final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greece | Draw | Kazakhstan |
72.66% ( 0.72) | 17.73% ( -0.32) | 9.61% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 42.19% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( 0.21) | 46.38% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( 0.2) | 68.67% ( -0.2) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( 0.25) | 11.33% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64% ( 0.55) | 36% ( -0.55) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.69) | 52.42% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.72% ( -0.45) | 86.28% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Greece 72.65%
Kazakhstan 9.62%
Draw 17.73%
| Greece | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 2-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 72.65% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.62% |
How you voted: Greece vs Kazakhstan
Greece
78.9%Draw
9.8%Kazakhstan
11.3%204
Form Guide
