Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Belgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Sweden | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 7 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 7 | -18 | 1 |
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Sweden | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 7 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 7 | -18 | 1 |
We said: Belgium 2-0 Azerbaijan
Competition for places - both in Belgium's Euro 2024 squad and their starting XI - should ensure the home side still aim to impress, despite already wrapping up qualification. Replicating an historic achievement just three days after seeing off Sweden will be too much to ask for Azerbaijan, who are set to suffer their fifth defeat from eight Group F games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Azerbaijan |
66.89% ( -0.03) | 19.23% ( 0.03) | 13.89% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( -0.1) | 41.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.1) | 64.33% ( 0.1) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% ( -0.04) | 11.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.09) | 36.62% ( 0.08) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.05) | 42.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.48% ( -0.04) | 78.52% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Belgium 66.87%
Azerbaijan 13.89%
Draw 19.23%
| Belgium | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 2-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.87% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.23% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.89% |
How you voted: Belgium vs Azerbaijan
Belgium
79.1%Draw
9.3%Azerbaijan
11.6%43
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2pm
