We said: Kazakhstan 1-2 Norway
Kazakhstan's recent rapid improvements have seen them rise to the second tier in the Nations League just two years after almost slipping into the fourth, so they cannot be underestimated in a close section.
Facing a dangerous side who gave many established nations a scare in Euro 2024 qualifying and being so far away from home means Norway cannot take this game lightly, but with the attacking quality at their disposal, Solbakken's side have the slight edge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.21) 
