Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Astana Arena
Kazakhstan0 - 1Slovenia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia
After a miserable showing in midweek, Kazakhstan do not look like causing Slovenia many problems in the final third, with most of their main forwards short of playing time at club level. The visitors are still hoping for a top-two finish, and they can stay in contention by edging out their hosts in Pavlodar. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovenia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Slovenia |
28.21% ( -0.01) | 28.29% ( 0.01) | 43.49% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.02) | 60.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0.01) | 80.92% ( 0.02) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.01) | 37.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.38% ( -0.01) | 74.62% ( 0.01) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.01) | 27.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.58% ( -0.01) | 63.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kazakhstan 28.21%
Slovenia 43.49%
Draw 28.28%
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Slovenia |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.49% |
How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Slovenia
Kazakhstan
12.8%Draw
13.4%Slovenia
73.8%149
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
2-1
Kazakhstan
Mar 23, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
