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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Slovenia national football team

Norway
3 - 0
Slovenia

Haaland (7', 62'), Sorloth (52')
Berg (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stojanovic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Norway and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 2-2 Slovenia

 Norway and Slovenia both possess significant firepower on their sides, with the likes of Sorloth, Haaland and Sesko all expected to start on Thursday. With that in mind, we think that the contest should produce goals, but we also believe that the two teams may have to settle for a draw in a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawSlovenia
61.29% (0.434 0.43) 23.19% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 15.52% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-1.101 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.93 -0.93)54.96% (0.933 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.775 -0.77)76.23% (0.77799999999999 0.78)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)17.58% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (-0.317 -0.32)48.14% (0.32 0.32)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (-1.218 -1.22)47.74% (1.221 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (-0.916 -0.92)83.04% (0.92 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Norway 61.29%
    Slovenia 15.52%
    Draw 23.18%
NorwayDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 14.59% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 12.68% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 61.29%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Norway vs Slovenia

Norway
53.5%
Draw
33.1%
Slovenia
13.4%
157
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 5pm
League B
Slovenia
2-1
Norway
Sporar (69'), Sesko (81')
Braut Haaland (47')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Norway
0-0
Slovenia
Thorstvedt (76')
Stojanovic (1'), Sporar (90+1')
Blazic (63')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Slovenia
1-1
Norway
Verbic (9')
Rotman (72')
Johnsen (85')
Rosted (56'), Jarstein (74')
Oct 13, 2018 5pm
League Phase
Norway
1-0
Slovenia
Selnaes (45')
Elyounoussi (44')

Bijol (84')
rhs 2.0
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