Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.