Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Mainz 05

Kone (26')
Itakura (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caricol (55')
Barreiro (39'), Jae-sung (42'), Kohr (88'), Zentner (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

Last Six:

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Hoffenheim	5	2	9
7	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	3	8
8	Werder Bremen	5	2	8

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	0	8
10	Mainz 05	4	-1	7
11	RB Leipzig	5	-3	5

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Mainz 05

Although Mainz have won both of their away games this season, we expect Gladbach to record another victory on Sunday. Die Fohlen have hugely improved under Farke's management so far and they clearly have the more talented individuals to gain a win; providing they perform on the day, of course. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Mainz 05
53.09% ( 1.23)	22.46% ( -0.35)	24.45% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

0.79)

40.12% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

0.81)

62.49% (

-0.81)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

0.7)

15.17% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.23% (

1.31)

43.77% (

-1.3)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

-0.27)

29.71% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

-0.32)

65.77% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 53.09%

Mainz 05 24.45%

Draw 22.46%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.89% Total : 53.09%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 24.45%