Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.78%) and 1-3 (6.64%). The likeliest Rot-Weiss Essen win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%).

Result
Rot-Weiss Essen	Draw	Hamburger SV
24.6% ( 0.02)	20.81% ( 0.15)	54.59% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 65.91% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.03% (

-0.75)

31.97% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.47% (

-0.88)

53.53% (

0.88)

Rot-Weiss Essen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.4)

25.16% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

-0.55)

59.88% (

0.55)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0.29)

11.93% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.71% (

-0.63)

37.29% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen 24.6%

Hamburger SV 54.59%

Draw 20.81%

Rot-Weiss Essen	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.6%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.81%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.59%