MX23RW : Wednesday, September 11 22:16:23| >> :600:741439:741439:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 18, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadion Lichterfelde
Augsburg logo

Viktoria Berlin
1 - 4
Augsburg

Liu (4')
Rexhbecaj (47'), Yildirim (61'), Dikarev (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rexhbecaj (33'), Essende (53'), Dorsch (87'), Tietz (90+2')
Mohamed (47'), Mensah (83'), Giannoulis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Viktoria Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hamburger SV II 0-2 Viktoria Berlin
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Viktoria Berlin 2-0 Augsburg

Although top-flight Augsburg were eliminated by a lower-league side in the DFB-Pokal last season, it would be surprising if they failed to progress past the first round for the second year in a row. Viktoria Berlin will no doubt look to use set pieces to their advantage, and while they could prove to be stubborn opposition, the visitors' superior quality should see them emerge as victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 75.31%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Viktoria Berlin had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Viktoria Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Viktoria BerlinDrawAugsburg
9.68% (0.6361 0.64) 15.01% (0.835 0.84) 75.31% (-1.468 -1.47)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.92% (-2.158 -2.16)33.08% (2.161 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.19% (-2.522 -2.52)54.82% (2.525 2.53)
Viktoria Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.71% (-0.284 -0.28)43.29% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.237 -0.24)79.54% (0.241 0.24)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.76700000000001 -0.77)7.36% (0.77 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.45% (-2.047 -2.05)26.56% (2.05 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Berlin 9.68%
    Augsburg 75.31%
    Draw 15.01%
Viktoria BerlinDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 2.91% (0.169 0.17)
1-0 @ 2.67% (0.276 0.28)
2-0 @ 1.12% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 9.68%
1-1 @ 6.96% (0.456 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.19% (0.352 0.35)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.01%
0-2 @ 10.84% (0.37 0.37)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.236 0.24)
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.606 0.61)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 6.15% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-4 @ 5.15% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 3.21% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.69% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-6 @ 1.4% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-6 @ 1.17% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 75.31%

How you voted: Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg

Viktoria Berlin
52.6%
Draw
0.0%
Augsburg
47.4%
19
rhs 2.0
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