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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Bayern logo

St Pauli
vs.
Bayern

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: St Pauli 0-4 Bayern Munich

Given the sheer number of attacking absentees for St Pauli, it is difficult to see how they can pose an offensive challenge to Bayern. Additionally, the visitors have been exceptional goalscorers away from home this season, and they could score multiple times in their clash at Millerntor-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.78%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 22.8% and a draw has a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.15%) and 1-3 (6.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.71%).

Result
St PauliDrawBayern Munich
22.8% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 20.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 56.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.05% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.88% (0.069999999999993 0.07)32.12% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.29% (0.080999999999996 0.08)53.71% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.069000000000003 0.07)26.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.82% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)11.38% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9% (0.032000000000004 0.03)36.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 22.8%
    Bayern Munich 56.78%
    Draw 20.42%
St PauliDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 22.8%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.42%
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.81% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 56.78%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayern?

St Pauli
Draw
Bayern Munich
St Pauli
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
100%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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