Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 1Torino
We said: Empoli 1-1 Torino
Slightly weakened due to further absences, Empoli could see their resurgence stalled by Torino, who rarely concede more than once but struggle to score. The hosts have also won just one Serie A match at the Castellani this term, so Toro can at least leave Tuscany with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Torino |
30.03% ( 0.02) | 29.1% ( 0) | 40.86% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
