Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
27.32% ( 0.3) | 27.56% ( 0.07) | 45.11% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.17% ( -0.08) | 58.83% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.66% ( -0.06) | 79.34% ( 0.06) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( 0.2) | 37.43% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.2) | 74.21% ( -0.21) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.22) | 26.01% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.3) | 61.03% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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