Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari0 - 1Atalanta
We said: Cagliari 0-2 Atalanta BC
Although their schedule is packed - and Gasperini rarely rotates his squad - Atalanta should still have enough gas in the tank to beat Cagliari. The home side have weaknesses at both ends of the pitch, while their high-flying visitors are riding the crest of a wave. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.32% ( 0.02) | 22.72% ( 0.01) | 56.95% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
