Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.