MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 01:10:46| >> :600:569011:569011:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
1 - 1
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Ajax Women

Chelsea know that they do not have to win Wednesday's second leg to progress, but with Ajax needing to take risks, we think that the Blues will exploit any space left in behind to claim a victory and ease through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
46.32% (0.671 0.67) 22.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.99% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)36.2% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (-0.227 -0.23)58.31% (0.226 0.23)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.169 0.17)16.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.307 0.31)45.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)23.19% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.698 -0.7)57.09% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 46.32%
    Ajax Women 30.99%
    Draw 22.69%
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Ajax

Chelsea Women
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax Women
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Ajax
0-3
Chelsea Women

Yohannes (14')
James (19'), Nusken (44', 83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!