MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:32:18| >> :600:604004:604004:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
FC Bayern Campus Platz 1

Bayern Munich
1 - 1
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Grant (38')
Hoekstra (35'), Yohannes (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Bayern Munich Women 2-1 Ajax Women

Having won six of their last seven competitive matches, we think that the hosts will have the extra quality required to beat an Ajax side that have won just one of their last four games (D1, L1). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawAjax Women
38.71% (-0.284 -0.28) 23.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 37.42% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.77% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (0.085999999999999 0.09)62.6% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)20.97% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.156 -0.16)53.72% (0.153 0.15)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.18600000000001 0.19)21.6% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (0.285 0.28)54.7% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 38.71%
    Ajax Women 37.42%
    Draw 23.87%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Bayern Munich vs Ajax

Bayern Munich Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax Women
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1796234161833
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
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19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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