MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:45:22| >> :600:604788:604788:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Tre Fontane

Roma
3 - 0
Ajax

Giacinti (5', 14'), Giugliano (47')
Spugna (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Keijzer (49'), Spitse (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Roma Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 Roma
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ajax Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Roma Women 2-1 Ajax Women

 Ajax's confidence would have taken a slight hit at the weekend following their first defeat of the season, and while we believe that they will run their Italian opponents close on Thursday, we think that the Dutch champions will be edged out by a Roma side that has won their last eight competitive home games since losing to Barcelona in March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax Women win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.

Result
Roma WomenDrawAjax Women
36.76% (0.733 0.73) 24.04% (-0.283 -0.28) 39.2% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 61.28% (1.145 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91% (1.456 1.46)41.09% (-1.452 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.52% (1.468 1.47)63.49% (-1.463 -1.46)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (1.046 1.05)22.32% (-1.043 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (1.545 1.55)55.8% (-1.542 -1.54)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.42 0.42)21.1% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (0.648 0.65)53.94% (-0.645 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 36.76%
    Ajax Women 39.2%
    Draw 24.04%
Roma WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Roma vs Ajax

Roma Women
57.1%
Draw
9.5%
Ajax Women
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!