Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sportpark De Toekomst

Ajax
2 - 0
PSG

Hoekstra (34'), Spitse (45+1' pen.)
Noordam (45+3'), Grant (78'), Leuchter (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Ajax Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Zurich
Wednesday, October 18 at 6pm in Women's Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Man Utd Women
Wednesday, October 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ajax Women had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for an Ajax Women win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Ajax Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
22.99% ( -0.36)	23.12% ( -0.08)	53.9% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.04)

44.64% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.04)

67.01% (

0.04)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

-0.34)

33.42% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

-0.37)

70.05% (

0.38)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

0.14)

16.5% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.77% (

0.26)

46.23% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Ajax Women 22.99%

Paris Saint-Germain Women 53.9%

Draw 23.11%

Ajax Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.99%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.9%