Man United will be desperate to reach the group stage in their first-ever Women's Champions League campaign, but we think that they could be edged out by a PSG side who have home advantage in their favour and can also draw upon a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain Women would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
34.23% ( -0.02)	26.6% ( -0.01)	39.16% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

0.03)

52.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

0.02)

74.53% (

-0.03)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-0)

29.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0)

65.32% (

-0)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

0.03)

26.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

0.04)

61.59% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.23%

Manchester United Women 39.16%

Draw 26.6%

Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.23%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.16%