Man United will be determined to make home advantage count in Tuesday's first leg, but we think that they will be frustrated and held to a draw by a PSG side that boasts a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Manchester United Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
32.71% ( -0.01)	24.45% ( 0.01)	42.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

-0.06)

43.9% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.71% (

-0.06)

66.28% (

0.05)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.03)

25.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

-0.04)

60.88% (

0.04)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

-0.03)

20.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.83% (

-0.04)

53.16% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Women 32.71%

Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.83%

Draw 24.44%

Manchester United Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.83%