Roma have acquitted themselves well in their first Women's Champions League campaign, but we think that they may be given a reality check by a Barcelona side who have proven to be one of their most feared teams in Europe over the last few years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Roma Women win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona Women.

Result
Roma Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
19.19% ( -0.07)	21.84% ( -0.05)	58.96% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12% (

0.09)

43.88% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.73% (

0.09)

66.26% (

-0.09)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

-0.03)

36.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.53% (

-0.03)

73.47% (

0.03)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.07)

14.54% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

0.13)

42.57% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Roma Women 19.19%

Barcelona Women 58.96%

Draw 21.84%

Roma Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
1-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 19.19%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.84%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.96%