Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Benfica
2 - 6
Barcelona

da Silva (62'), Lacasse (81')
Amado (61'), Vitoria (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Paredes (7'), Pina (45+2'), Bonmati (48'), Crnogorcevic (58'), Seica (80' og.), Caldentey (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Benfica Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica Women

Last Game: Rosengard 1-3 Benfica
Wednesday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 7 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Benfica Women 0-3 Barcelona Women

Although we expect Thursday's scoreline to be closer than the 9-0 win that Barcelona recorded when the two sides met on matchday one, we still believe Barcelona will claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.06%) and 0-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 1-0 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Benfica Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
6.85% ( -0.1)	12.89% ( -0.17)	80.26% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.89% (

0.47)

33.1% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.15% (

0.54)

54.84% (

-0.54)

Benfica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.07% (

0.08)

49.92% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.39% (

0.05)

84.6% (

-0.05)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.61% (

0.15)

6.39% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.04% (

0.41)

23.96% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Benfica Women 6.85%

Barcelona Women 80.25%

Draw 12.89%

Benfica Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
1-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.85%	1-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.89%	0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 80.25%