Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Caixa Futebol Campus

Benfica
2 - 3
Bayern Munich

Raysla (42'), Lacasse (59')
Alves (90+3'), Costa (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rall (67'), Stanway (83', 90+8')
Kett (74'), Perla Viggosdottir (79'), Kumagai (87'), Damnjanovic (90+9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Benfica Women and Bayern Munich Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica Women

Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Bayern Munich Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-1 Rosengard
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.

Result
Benfica Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
30.4% ( 0.09)	22.16% ( 0.03)	47.44% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 66.06% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

-0.1)

33.92% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23% (

-0.12)

55.78% (

0.12)

Benfica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

22.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

55.95% (

-0)

Bayern Munich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.08)

14.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

-0.15)

43.16% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Benfica Women 30.4%

Bayern Munich Women 47.44%

Draw 22.16%

Benfica Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.4%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.44%