Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.65%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.