World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Chile0 - 0Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Chile
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Chile 1-1 Colombia
While Chile were beaten in their opening match, there were several positives they would have taken against a very good-looking Uruguay team. The hosts would have had a few days to assess where they went wrong, and we expect them to put on a better performance this time around at home by holding the Colombians to a draw for their first point of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Colombia |
54.32% ( 0.21) | 26.27% ( -0.08) | 19.41% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
