World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
Qatar1 - 3UAE
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Qatar 3-1 United Arab Emirates
Qatar have comfortably defeated the UAE in three of their last four meetings across all competitions, and we expect this game to follow that trend with a significant victory for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
33.94% ( 0.19) | 26.47% ( -0.16) | 39.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
