MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:28:58| >> :600:21496717:21496717:
Jordan national football team
Asian Cup | Final
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Qatar national football team

Jordan
1 - 3
Qatar

Al-Naimat (67')
Olwan (18'), Al Ajalin (45+7'), Al-Naimat (86'), Abulaila (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Afif (22' pen., 73' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Assadalla (90+9'), Barsham (90+16')

The Match

Match Report

Hosts and holders Qatar end Jordan's fairytale run to become only the second team this century to win back-to-back Asian Cup titles.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
JordanDrawQatar
38.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.68%34.41% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)53.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)74.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.71% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Jordan 38.89%
    Qatar 34.41%
    Draw 26.68%
JordanDrawQatar
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: Jordan vs Qatar

Jordan
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Qatar
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 4pm
Friendlies 1
Qatar
1-2
Jordan
Afif (11' pen.)
Al Bayati (42'), Salman (56')
Al-Naimat (51'), Olwan (58' pen.)
Al-Arab (10'), Hammad (83'), Al-Awadat (83')
Dec 23, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Qatar
2-0
Jordan
rhs 2.0
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